gameindustrytrends

itch.ioRank 12512026-10-18

Carnal Outbreak18+

by Sr. Heisenbergo

Open on itch.io

Velocity

0.000

Carnal Outbreak Velocity, last 14 days: falling across 14 days, 0.01 to 0.00 (low -0.02, high 0.01).

Confidence 20%

Confidence is the share of Velocity’s four components that could be measured for this game, scaled down again when there is less than a fortnight to measure over. Here, ratings had a measurable acceleration on 2026-10-18. Topic views and comments did not. We also have itch.io chart positions for it, which is the fourth component. It was observed on 13 of the last 14 days. How this is computed.

Which counter moved first

Lead and lag

30 days

Not enough of the ladder to compare.

Only ratings could be plotted, so there is no second counter to compare the timing against.

Lead and lag for Carnal Outbreak, 30 daysLead and lag over 30 days, 2026-09-19 to 2026-10-18, each series scaled to its own change so the timing can be compared. Not enough of the ladder to compare. Ratings: 101 to 102, up 1, most of that change came late in the window.100%50%0%-100%Sep 19Oct 18Ratings

Each line is scaled to its own change across these 30 days, so counters that differ by orders of magnitude can be compared by shape. The vertical gap is what matters: a line higher on the left took its change earlier. The real counts are in the legend, and the day-by-day numbers are below. The axis runs past its ends because a counter went beyond its final value inside the window and came back — a deleted comment, a withdrawn rating. The scale is widened rather than the curve clipped, so the round trip stays visible.

Series — over Sep 19 to Oct 18

  • Ratings — people finished and cared101102+1
  • Topic views are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
  • Comments are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
The numbers behind the chart

The counter as we recorded it that day, and beside it the share of the window’s change it had reached — the value the chart plots.

DayRatings
Sep 19101
Sep 20101
Sep 21101
Sep 22101
Sep 23100
Sep 24100
Sep 25100
Sep 26100
Sep 27100
Sep 28101
Sep 29101
Sep 30101
Oct 1101
Oct 2102
Oct 3102
Oct 4102
Oct 5102
Oct 6102
Oct 7102
Oct 8102
Oct 9102
Oct 10102
Oct 11102
Oct 12102
Oct 13102
Oct 14102
Oct 15102
Oct 16102
Oct 17102
Oct 18102
What the platform publishes

Counters

Read 2026-10-18
CounterNow7d30d
Ratings conversion1020+1

A blank change is not a zero: the scoring pass refuses a window whose nearest observation is too stale to compare, rather than differencing two points that are not seven days apart.

Not our number

On itch.io's own charts

On 2 tag charts
ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated · #eroge189+1-3Position on itch.io's Top rated · #eroge chart across 42 readings: climbing, #192 to #189 (best #182, worst #196).
Top rated · #adult798-10-38Position on itch.io's Top rated · #adult chart across 60 readings: climbing, #804 to #798 (best #753, worst #826).
Everything else we hold

Activity and where to go next

First seen by us
2026-08-20
Price
free
Average rating
4.57 / 5

No devlog has been posted since we started watching on 2026-08-20. itch.io publishes only the most recent devlog date, so anything posted before then leaves no trace here.

Go to the source

We hold counters and metadata only. Nothing on the game’s own page — its description, its screenshots, its build — is republished here, and everything worth reading about it is behind those links.